What's the Thanksgiving dinner COVID risk across the country?

||| FROM WASHINGTON POST |||

With the coronavirus spreading uncontrolled across nearly the entire country, many public health experts are urging Americans to cancel their Thanksgiving gathering plans.

But not everyone is taking this advice to heart: Roughly 40 percent plan to attend a Thanksgiving gathering with 10 or more people, according to a recent survey commissioned by Ohio State University’s Wexner Medical Center.

Peer-reviewed risk assessment data produced by researchers at the Georgia Institute of Technology suggests that many of those big events may become coronavirus super-spreaders. Drawing on public data sets, the Covid-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool produces daily county-level estimates of the odds of encountering at least one coronavirus-positive person at a gathering of 10 or more people.

At the county level nationwide, the average estimated risk of running into a coronavirus-positive person at a 10-person gathering is just a hair under 40 percent. That’s a pretty high number — if you take five of next week’s Thanksgiving gatherings, you can expect that a coronavirus-positive person will be at two of them.

READ FULL ARTICLE: https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/11/18/map-covid-risk-thanksgiving/

One Comment

Paige McCormick November 18, 2020 at 4:17 pm

When I use the Planning Tool link, and select 10-pp @ 10 ascertainment bias, I get a completely different map. The data source, The Atlantic, deprecates the use of their data by other display creators.
Also, this is just a game, it has nothing to do with the relationship of the attendees whose recent history is available to evaluate. I have no dog in this fight.