— from Joe Symons, PhD —

In a week, citizens of San Juan County will be given an in-person moment to express their views about what they value and want in living here. San Juan County is offering a one-day event on each of the three major ferry served islands where citizens can express their vision for the future of the county.

These events are described at sanjuanco.com/1079/Comprehensive-Plan-Update. More details are offered at sanjuanco.com/1340/SJC-Comprehensive-Planning-101 (see all of the presentation documents available there).

WAIT! Don’t click over to those links just yet.

These one-day events are supposed to gather your vision for the size, location, and feel of spaces and people that are your community. You need to think of them as “talk.” You might imagine that this “talk” would and should lead to a consistent and parallel “walk” to ensure that the comprehensive plan actually accomplishes this vision.

The reality is that the existing comprehensive plan, which is being updated, has never “walked” the vision “talk.” Growth in San Juan County has nothing to do with the comprehensive plan. It has everything to do with the market. The current plan is as effective as a toothless, clawless tiger. The best it has done, and without your strong and clear input, the best you are going to get going forward, is a set of “goals” none of which touch the key issues: consistency with the vision, with the Growth Management Act (GMA) under which the plan was crafted, with carrying capacities or with sustainability. You may not believe me; I encourage you to validate this assertion for yourself. You can find a wealth of solid information not available on the county’s web site at
KeepSanJuansWild.org, which is the only truly comprehensive collection of specific detailed information on what the gap is between what the “talk” and the “walk.”

Those one-day events being held outside the main grocery stores on each island are not your only opportunity to weigh in. However, given how busy and distracted most people are, it is likely you won’t take the time to really understand the invisible marriage you have made by choosing to live here, nor should you expect the overloaded planning department to give you a comprehensive tutorial on the real stakes regarding this marriage.

Imagine your future spouse is the look and feel of the spaces and community that brought you here and keep you here. That’s why you fell in love and why you want to live and stay here. What often breaks up a love affair is when one spouse changes and the other can’t adjust to the change. You might want to know what those changes could be and how they will impact you. There is no reasonably accurate prediction of the market-driven changes you will experience, but you can be confident that there will be many more non-residents, more traffic, less quiet, and a growing gap between the haves and the have nots. Some of this information is sitting quietly in official documents such as the recently completed housing needs assessment. (Spoiler alert: the problems are identified but no solutions are offered.)

The bottom line is that the trajectory we are on is exactly like that of every other beautiful destination community in the world, each one of which has been irrevocably altered to no longer meet the original vision and experience of a slow growing rural county infused with tranquility, simplicity, and beauty—fundamental elements in our existing vision statement.

The short version is simple. There are two paths. Each path has costs.

The default path, the one we have been on since 1970, is entirely market driven. The fact that we have a Comp Plan is a convenient fiction to mollify and pacify locals. Economic costs go up as more infrastructure is needed. Environmental costs go up as wells get salty or run dry, wildlife leaves, noise increases, traffic and parking become more challenging. Aspirational costs rise as locals wonder what the end game is: the place is no longer what we came here for.

You’ve lived it. The population of the county more than doubles in the summer. 70 percent of new residential construction for the last decade is for second homes. There is no affordable housing, either owner-occupied or rentals. We have double the state demographic for the over 65 population. We enjoy the lowest wage rate in the state. The list goes on. You surely have your favorites. You will live it going forward. The buildout population is over four times larger than we are today, not counting summer visitors.

The other path is the planned path. A real plan that has vision-created, not market-created, boundaries. This path will also cost.

Right now no one knows which path will cost more. What we do know is simple: If we take the first path, those costs will be expenses; If we take the second path, those costs will be investments. In one case, we pay for what we don’t want. In the other case, we pay for what we do want.
Which would you rather pay for?

If it matters to you, your marriage moment rapidly approaches: Speak Now or Forever Hold Your Peace. Time and tide wait for no one. The clock ticks. The county has to complete this update soon. It is now on its third two- year extension. There is virtually a forced march to complete the update by next summer. Without your significant participation, you will get the default market-driven path.

Why believe me? Because I was the chair of the Orcas Committee to write the Comp Plan starting in 1993 and was one of five locals that challenged the plan in 1999 as in egregious violation of GMA. The county lost over and over. It was a bloody mess and we ended up with a plan that has no bearing on the vision we spent a year crafting (and you may spend a few minutes giving feedback on during your one-day stop at a local market).

Determine for yourself if what you read here is opinion or facts. Drill into the details at the only place they exist anywhere: KeepSanJuansWild.org.

We can, and should, set a much higher standard this time around.

**If it wouldn’t cause you financial distress to take out a modestly-priced, voluntary subscription (HERE), you’d be doing a real service. If it would, then no worries, we’re happy to share with you.**