How a small island’s experiment in clean energy became a lesson in what happens when a co-op stops listening to the people it serves
||| FROM ALAN MIZUTA |||
I own a piece of a solar farm. I paid for it. I’m proud of what it was supposed to be. I’m considerably less proud of what it became.
The Decatur Island microgrid, OPALCO’s first community solar array, was described to state grant-makers as a future national showcase for equitable community solar. It was described to the Decatur community as a prototype that would deliver direct local benefits. What neither audience was told is that OPALCO’s power provider already runs one of the cleanest grids in the country, nearly 97 percent carbon-free before a single panel went in. The green energy story was always thin. What the project really had going for it was available grant money, and a member-owned cooperative that had learned how to go get it. This is the story of what happened next.
I know this story from the inside, because I helped pay for it.
The Deal
A few years back, OPALCO came to the Decatur community with a proposition. We could become “subscribers” in a pilot solar project right here on our island. The pitch was compelling: clean energy, a shot at reasonable financial returns as quickly as 7 years with state incentives, and most importantly for an island that used to lose the mainland connection often enough that backup power wasn’t theoretical, a real community benefit. The battery storage system, we were told, could be isolated to serve Decatur alone during outages, buying us somewhere between half a day and a full day of backup power when the mainland connection went dark.
What the pitch didn’t mention was that OPALCO buys its power from the Bonneville Power Administration, whose own published figures show 88 percent coming from Columbia River hydropower and another 9 percent from nuclear. Wind and solar together account for less than 1 percent of BPA’s portfolio. The grid serving these islands was already nearly carbon-free. The people making the pitch knew exactly what BPA’s portfolio looked like.
I have a design and engineering background. In prototype work, I’m comfortable with things not working the first time. The whole point is to learn why, document it, and fix it. That standard matters even more when the stakes are this high. OPALCO has described a vision for roughly 800 acres of solar across all the islands, an order of magnitude beyond what exists on Decatur. A prototype for a rollout that size is not the place to cut corners. It is the place to get everything right, because every decision made here gets replicated across every island in the county.
I was all in.
What I didn’t know could fill a prospectus.
The Math Nobody Showed You
I was also, it turns out, an unwitting participant in one of the more creative financing structures you’ll find in rural utility economics. Call it a ratepayer pyramid.
Here is how the money actually worked. For every $1,000 a subscriber like me committed, roughly $1,340 came from state and federal grants, the kind funded by everyone’s taxes. That alone should give pause. But here is the number that kept me up at night once I finally understood it: for every $1,000 subscribed, OPALCO’s ratepayers, every household on every island in the county that has electricity, contributed approximately $1,720 in subsidies. Most of them had no idea this was happening.
Do the math. For each thousand dollars I put in, expecting a modest return on a responsible green investment, my neighbors were quietly on the hook for $3,060. Over three times as much. The subscribers sat at the top. The ratepayers underwrote the whole structure from below. No prospectus. No disclosure. No line item on anyone’s electric bill that said: “This month, you’re subsidizing your neighbor’s solar subscription.”
Public investment in clean energy infrastructure can be legitimate. But there is a meaningful difference between transparent public investment and a financing arrangement that only makes sense if the people at the bottom of it never find out how the numbers work. OPALCO’s members, all of them, deserved to know. They weren’t told.
Cutting Corners at the Start
The financial structure wasn’t the only thing that didn’t advertise itself. Neither did the permitting.
The original Decatur site was developed under a Provisional Use Permit. What regulators now generally agree was actually required was a Conditional Use Permit, a meaningfully higher bar that would have triggered more rigorous environmental review. The lower-standard permit is what OPALCO set out to obtain, and what it ultimately secured. It got through.
During site development, areas we now recognize as wetlands were graded. Nothing in the permitting process at the time required monitoring or controls for stormwater or subsurface water flows. We will never know the full environmental cost of that decision. What we do know is that neighbors downhill from the site began noticing increased surface and subsurface water flows across their properties, coinciding with the clearcutting and filling of land that had previously absorbed and filtered what fell on it. The site had no monitoring infrastructure. There is no baseline to compare against. The corner was cut, the permit was obtained, and the question of what was lost in the process has no clean answer.
The Reality on the Ground
The site is at a dusty intersection of two gravel roads. There is no water. Not for washing solar panels, which lose efficiency when coated with the grit that two unpaved roads kick up all summer long. No water for employee sanitation either. For years, OPALCO workers servicing this remote site had nowhere to relieve themselves except the woods.
The panels were installed with 75-foot Douglas firs directly to the south. In Washington. Where the sun is low in the sky for much of the year. Shadowed for months at a time. A basic solar siting analysis would have flagged this. OPALCO apparently did not run one, or did not act on the results, because the shadow problem was only addressed after construction. OPALCO then approached the adjacent landowner, a county property, to request a clearcut. The additional clearcut happened. And the performance still lags what was expected by double-digit percentages advertised to thinly justify the finances. But neighbors noticed the sequence: panels first, problem discovered second, fix arranged third, and the fix was represented to the county in a way that, to put it charitably, obscured that timeline.
The promised split-rail fence that would honor the rural character of the island became a towering chain-link barrier. When community members asked why, they eventually learned the answer: the general manager did not trust the Decatur community. He was worried about vandalism. From a community of a few dozen year-round residents, most of whom had welcomed and invested as subscribers in the very project. No one can point to a protest of the prototype project. And, not incidentally, it is the most heavily trafficked intersection on the island, one that the general manager apparently monitors closely enough that the video surveillance feed is often his video meeting background.
The islanders who were told the battery system could isolate Decatur during an outage eventually learned that this was not technically possible. The outage-protection benefit that had been a central selling point could not be delivered. What is striking is not that a prototype fell short of every promise. That is what prototypes sometimes do. What is striking is the divergence in how OPALCO’s own management explained when they became aware of the problem. The accounts did not align. In engineering culture, you document when you discover a failure, because documentation is how you learn. Here, the timeline went soft.
The Community Tried
What happened next is the part that still stings.
Decatur residents, including engineers, renewable energy professionals, and serious investors, did not give up. They formed working groups. They produced detailed technical analyses, at no cost to OPALCO, on how to improve the existing site’s performance and intelligently site additional solar on the island. They identified adjacent properties, including former quarry land with acres of disturbed ground and prime solar exposure, whose owners were prepared to offer them up for future projects.
OPALCO did not respond. Not with enthusiasm, not with criticism, not even with a thank-you for hundreds of hours of volunteer expert work. The reports were submitted. The offers were made. The silence from management was total. The board, similarly approached, was equally silent.
The local volunteer fire brigade and concerned neighbors offered to help with vegetation control on surrounding driveways and access areas adjacent to the site, at no liability to OPALCO. OPALCO declined. Inside the fence line, the grass continued to accumulate under and around the panels, a documented fire hazard on an island with zero fire suppression resources and fire response times from off-island that routinely exceed an hour, if they come at all. OPALCO later acknowledged it had no labor or equipment on the island to address the problem. Its proposed solution for the expansion project is herbicide application near Native Growth Areas and in proximity to as many as nine wetland areas.
Residents also raised the dust problem directly, noting that keeping the dust down on the adjacent gravel roads during peak summer months would measurably improve panel output during the period of maximum production. That suggestion went nowhere.
Friends of the San Juans, a respected regional conservation organization with decades of work in the county, reached the same conclusion independently. In a formal letter to county planners, they noted that clearing six or more acres of healthy forest to install solar arrays runs counter to the climate goals renewable energy is meant to serve, and that existing cleared lands, impervious surfaces, rooftops, and utility rights-of-way represented more appropriate sites than forested land. They had communicated this directly to OPALCO. The response was consistent with what the Decatur community had already experienced.
At some point, a community stops feeling like a partner and starts feeling like a host being managed from a distance by someone watching the surveillance feed.
Fire and the Illusion of Safety
This is where the story becomes genuinely alarming.
The Decatur site is not just a solar array. BPA’s submarine cables surface on Decatur and run overhead to the substation at the center of the island’s dusty intersection. From there, overhead lines branch back out to the other islands before going under the sea again. The substation is the hub for every watt of power reaching the San Juan Islands. The solar panels and battery storage sit directly beneath and beside those lines. If something goes wrong here, a fire, a battery event, a cascading failure, the whole county can go dark. Getting to Decatur to repair it can take days, by private barge, depending on tides and weather, to say nothing of the heavy equipment and materials any real repair would require.
Decatur is a densely forested island. The county’s own Community Wildfire Protection Plan, developed with OPALCO as a participating member of the steering committee, describes it as predominantly covered by second-growth conifer forest, with abundant dead and downed woody debris throughout. The same plan identifies the substation, solar array, and battery storage as critical infrastructure, and warns that fires at lower elevations on Decatur have the potential to spread uphill quickly, potentially blocking the only escape routes off the island. The plan also notes that overhead utility lines running through forested corridors represent a live ignition risk, one that right-of-way maintenance is meant to address. The grass accumulating inside the fence line was not a theoretical concern. It was a documented hazard at the precise location the county’s own emergency planners had flagged, in a plan OPALCO helped write.
For years, the site had no fire extinguisher. None.
On May 10, 2025, a battery-powered golf cart parked in the road immediately adjacent to the substation caught fire while its owner collected eggs from the farm across the road. The thermal monitoring system, routing alarms to a station somewhere in the Midwest, did not trigger. Fire experts in the county have confirmed what becomes obvious once you say it plainly: even if an alarm had fired, there is no one on Decatur to respond. OPALCO might have been notified. They could in theory have called the Department of Natural Resources, which has jurisdiction over unprotected wildlands in Washington. But DNR does not respond to structural fires, and certainly not to energized electrical infrastructure. No agency in the county has the training or personal protective equipment to manage a solar or battery storage incident.
The community raised these concerns. They raised them publicly. When King 5 News brought a camera crew and a drone, things began to move. The panels got washed. The grass got mowed. A porta-potty appeared. A five-pound fire extinguisher was installed.
A five-pound fire extinguisher. At the site that powers the entire county.
Bailer Hill, and the Pivot That Explains Everything
To understand how Decatur became the salvage plan, you have to go back to San Juan Island and to a second grant, separate from the one that built the original Decatur array, that set a very different set of decisions in motion.
OPALCO received a $1 million state grant through Washington’s Low-Income Community Solar Deployment program. The intent was to build a solar array on San Juan Island generating bill credits for low- and moderate-income households across the county and offsetting the energy costs of nonprofit service providers on the three main islands. Decatur was not part of the program’s design. It is where the money ended up.
The grant was awarded in 2021 for a project on San Juan Island, with construction scheduled for completion in 2023. It is now on its fifth extension. Four years later, after extensive spending on design, engineering, and planning, the project stalled in permitting.
Rather than reset, OPALCO pivoted. The remaining grant money, now reduced to approximately $430,000, was redirected to a new site on Decatur Island. Forested land, requiring clearcut. An island of 142 registered voters with no ferry service, no public services, no emergency resources, and no equipment or infrastructure capable of supporting a construction project of this scale.
By OPALCO’s own admission, the co-op spent $430,000 in grant money and $660,000 in ratepayer dollars on design and engineering without knowing that deed restrictions, clearly visible in the title record, made more than half the site legally undevelopable.
The co-op also purchased the Decatur property. It sits on the books, unbuilt. So does the Bailer Hill parcel, land OPALCO acquired on San Juan Island for the project that never broke ground. And somewhere, under tarps, quietly aging in the sun they were designed to capture, sit roughly 4,500 solar panels purchased with ratepayer funds and slowly depreciating.
The low-income households the grant was designed to serve live on San Juan, Orcas, and Lopez. The grant was written for those islands. Decatur is not among them, has never been among them, and will receive no bill credits from the project bearing its costs. It is the one island in the county that already hosts a utility-scale solar installation, that has already absorbed the environmental impacts, the broken promises, and the fire risk that comes with it, and that has the least capacity of any inhabited island to support what is being proposed next. The three main islands, with their ferries, their fire departments, their rooftops, their rights-of-way, and the overwhelming majority of the county’s population, have not been asked to carry a comparable burden.
When “No” Means “We’ll Change the Rules”
By this point, the project had a second site it couldn’t legally build on, a grant it couldn’t spend as written, and a community that had stopped believing the promises. The response was not to step back. It was to rewrite the rules.
The deed restrictions, when discovered, were substantial: a Native Growth Area covenant covering approximately 3.82 acres, an open space requirement mandating 30 percent undisturbed, and a Conditional Use Permit requiring a forested buffer. OPALCO had a choice.
OPALCO, represented by a Washington, D.C. law firm, sent letters to San Juan County expressing intent to revise both covenants.
The county acknowledged it had never received such a request before. Not for a Native Growth Area. Not for an open space covenant. These are instruments that run with the land. Banks rely on them when writing 30-year mortgages. Neighbors rely on them when buying property. They are the foundation of the county’s land use system, and they are not suggestions.
A publicly funded cooperative, using state grant money earmarked for low-income energy assistance, asked local government to do something with no precedent: erase environmental protections so that a project never properly sited could limp forward anyway.
A Boundary Line Modification was also sought and initially approved, with errors significant enough that the legal description included property OPALCO does not own. Title companies have declined to insure it. That modification remains on record and remains under challenge.
Around the same time, OPALCO approached the County Council about a 20-year lease of a five-acre parcel owned by Public Works, land directly south of the original solar site and surrounded by OPALCO’s newly acquired property. The proposed rent was $100 per month. The full five acres was to be cleared, graded, and grubbed, with roughly three acres covered in solar panels. At least one council member was surprised to learn, in that meeting, that OPALCO had already purchased the surrounding twenty acres without informing the county.
What $98 Million Buys
OPALCO carries approximately $98 million in debt. There is no funded plan to replace the aging undersea cables connecting the islands to the mainland grid, the same cables whose failure would leave the entire county without power, and whose vulnerability is the current justification, though the justification has changed before. Green energy gave way to community benefit, which has given way to energy independence, a compelling argument everywhere except on a cloudy archipelago in the middle of Puget Sound in January. Decatur was chosen because the money needed somewhere to go.
Private solar investors don’t go to the west side of the Cascades. The only utility-scale arrays that have, including the original Decatur project and one in Arlington, were both Commerce-subsidized. That is not a market signal the Washington State Department of Commerce appears to be reading. Commerce has shown no sign of reviewing whether this program makes sense on its face, complies with its own terms, or is directing state funds toward dismantling the environmental protections it was never meant to touch.
What remains of the original grant, now reduced to $430,000, a 57 percent haircut on money written specifically to help low-income households pay their electric bills, is being redirected to Decatur, where a new round of subscribers will sit at the top of a new pyramid while ratepayers and taxpayers underwrite the base.
OPALCO is member-owned. That is not a shield. It is an obligation. The board answers to every household on every island that pays an electric bill, and those households own this organization’s debt, its unbuilt parcels, its depreciating panel inventory, and its way of doing business. Member-owned means the members are the accountability mechanism. It always has.
The original Decatur microgrid was supposed to be the proof of concept. It proved something. The question now is whether anyone with the standing to demand accountability is paying attention.
The author is a Decatur Island community member and original investor in the OPALCO community solar program.
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Krista representing OPALCO here. Renewable energy projects across the country are succumbing to misinformation and opposition. Climate change and increased demand for electricity continues to challenge the energy industry. The islands are no different and we have an opportunity to make change where we can – which is here in the San Juan Islands.
This article is full of misinformation. OPALCO is incredibly proud of the Community Solar project on Decatur island – it’s a very successful site that has been recognized nationally in its ingenuity. This is what we as communities need to be doing – finding ways to meet our electrical load locally. Members made their money back in 6.5 years with the help of grants and incentives. People who invested paid for this project. If people say otherwise, it is incorrect. As for the other things claimed in the article, we encourage you to check with OPALCO and we can point you to the facts.
The electricity generated by the proposed Decatur Solar expansion project is needed to accommodate the increase in electricity usage for Decatur Island. There are currently (11) active new residential building permits in progress. Given forecasted residential permits issued by SJC on Decatur Island, OPALCO needs to plan for an increase of 30% more usage for just Decatur alone in the next 10 years.
The OPALCO Board will be reviewing the Decatur Solar Expansion at the April Board meeting. OPALCO has an extensive amount of information on our website about the current project and the proposed expansion. Check it out: http://www.opalco.com. Email us to attend the meeting via Zoom communications@opalco.com.
Just to offer some clarity on these claims that are contradicted by public documents, presented as fact without support, or are incomplete:
Claims directly contradicted by public records
• Islanding was “never technically possible” — OPALCO publicly stated the Decatur battery “can operate independently from the electrical grid,” and Commerce’s own project highlight confirms it can power approximately 500 homes for up to 4 hours independently.
• “Ratepayer pyramid” cost allocation — A PNNL/Sandia economic study shows 100% of community solar costs were allocated to participating customers, and battery/ESS costs were allocated to OPALCO and the Commerce Clean Energy Fund — not secretly bundled into non-subscriber bills.
• Low-income grant never intended to benefit Decatur — OPALCO’s current project materials state Commerce funds would “directly benefit low-income community members throughout San Juan County,” and the 2021 grant announcement described countywide benefits, not benefits tied to a physical location on the three main islands.
• OPALCO carries “approximately $98 million in debt” — OPALCO’s 2024 annual report shows total debt of $86.615 million. The $98 million figure has no cited source.
• OPALCO and the board were “totally silent” — Public board materials document a February 13 virtual meeting, May 28 and May 30 community updates, a June newsletter, and explicit board discussion of member criticism and reevaluation.
Claims that may be true but are not established by the article or public documents
• Original project required a CUP, not a Provisional Use Permit, and regulators “now generally agree” — No public county determination was found backing this. The current expansion requiring a CUP does not by itself prove the original permit was wrongly classified.
• Wetlands were graded and downhill neighbors experienced increased water flows caused by site clearing — No public enforcement finding, adjudication, or technical report was found establishing that causal chain.
• No water for panel washing and no sanitation for workers “for years,” with employees using the woods — No public record found substantiating this. Stated as fact; appears to be anecdotal.
• A “basic solar siting analysis” would have flagged shading from 75-foot firs, and OPALCO either didn’t run one or ignored it — Speculation without supporting design documents or production data.
• Performance “still lags expected output by double-digit percentages” — No production benchmark or apples-to-apples calculation is provided. OPALCO’s public page shows expected and actual production, but the article supplies no methodology to support the claimed underperformance.
• The thermal monitoring system did not trigger during the May 10, 2025 golf cart fire — No public incident report, fire report, or OPALCO statement was found confirming this.
• No one in the county has the training or PPE to manage a solar or battery incident — A broad, high-consequence assertion offered without cited evidence.
• The site had “no fire extinguisher” for years, and only a five-pound extinguisher was added after TV coverage — No public maintenance record or inspection document was found verifying this timeline.
• Title companies have declined to insure the boundary line modification — No public title company statement or county record found confirming this.
• Private solar investors don’t go west of the Cascades, and only Decatur and one Arlington project exist — A sweeping market claim with no supporting evidence provided.
Claims that rely on loaded inference rather than fact
• “The green energy story was always thin” because BPA power is already 97% carbon-free — Rhetoric, not analysis. OPALCO and Commerce have consistently described the project as serving multiple purposes: outage mitigation, cost reduction, transmission deferral, reliability, and local resiliency — not merely carbon reduction.
• “Decatur was chosen because the money needed somewhere to go” — A motive claim stated as fact. OPALCO’s public explanation cites proximity to the existing site and substation, and lower cost and impact compared to building new infrastructure elsewhere.
• The general manager monitors the Decatur intersection so closely that the surveillance feed appears as his meeting background — A fence or camera choice is turned into a character attack without documentary support.
Places where the article is selective or incomplete
• The article treats the grant as necessarily improper once the project moved to Decatur — OPALCO’s current project page states Commerce-funded work would still benefit low-income members countywide, and the county confirms the current proposal is an expansion of an existing facility on OPALCO-owned parcels under active permit review.
• The article uses absolutes where the record is mixed — Claiming OPALCO offered “not even a thank-you” in response to community input, while public materials show meetings, FAQs, updates, and responses on deed restrictions, Bailer Hill costs, panel reallocations, and cable replacement estimates.
Thank you, Alan, for this powerful insider testimony exposing the failures of OPALCO’s solar microgrid experiment.
We don’t need more solar microgrids on the San Juan Islands. Here’s why:
* Wrong latitude, wrong climate. Our cloudy, low-sun winters make utility-scale solar inefficient and unreliable here. Rooftop solar on individual homes is one thing; forcing industrial arrays on forested land is another entirely.
* Ridiculously expensive. OPALCO’s debt already exceeds $100 million and is climbing fast. These projects add massive costs that ultimately hit every ratepayer while delivering minimal reliable power.
* An eyesore that destroys rural character. Chain-link fences, clearcut forests, and panels at busy intersections turn quiet islands into industrial zones.
* Subscribers are not truly paying for it. Read Alan’s article — even he regrets investing. The real burden falls on all ratepayers and taxpayers through grants, hidden subsidies, and the co-op’s overall financing pyramid. The “member-owned” claim doesn’t excuse shifting costs onto everyone else.
Priorities are completely backward. OPALCO should be urgently replacing our aging submarine cables — the true backbone of reliable power for the entire county — instead of chasing grant money for low-yield solar on Decatur.
This isn’t ‘community solar.’ It’s corporate welfare dressed up as green energy, funded by ratepayers who get stuck with the bill.”
It’s time for real accountability. OPALCO’s board must stop doubling down on failed experiments and focus on what actually keeps the lights on without punishing ratepayers.
Rikki Swin
http://www.OurOpalco.com
On close reading, Ms. Bouchey is simply blowing smoke on behalf of OPALCO, not rebutting Mizuta’s careful, exhaustive expose of the missteps and deceits surrounding OPALCO’s solar forays. OPALCO members — most especially those serving on the board — should read this closely, stop further investments in solar forays now, begin digging the cooperative out of debt and securing the future viability of the undersea cables without which no amount of solar will matter. Then they should stop paying nearly a million dollars a year to the guy responsible for the mismanagement and start fresh.
“Claims that may be true but are not established by the article or public documents”
What is this? OPALCO members are not allowed to be concerned about issues because supporting documents may be secret? One of the most prolific concerns I read about is lack of transparency!
As I have mentioned before, OPALCO’s tone in these comment sections worry me as much, if not more than the issues being discussed. It is my belief that a massive leadership change is needed before it is too late. Mr. MacLeod’s comment is spot-on. It’s going to take a lot of work to get things back to a baseline which will assure the long-term survival of the co-op.
Thank you Alex. It’s always nice to hear direct and to the point comments.
In that regard, I’d like to see totally new ‘comments’ from all the Board Candidates. Just tell us your background and then ‘what you want to see as the future for OPALCO.’ All I saw was a bunch of Statements about ‘I Will Listen,’. That means absolutely nothing.
Just state “Is OPALCO going the wrong direction or not and what you want to see.”
If you don’t think they need an overhaul, then you’re not the person we want on the board.
Some thoughts to consider:
• Mainland cables: The two submarine cables feeding the San Juan Islands are owned and operated by BPA — not OPALCO. Raising member rates to replace BPA infrastructure WOULD be mismanagement.
• Debt: Low-interest federal debt has been a cornerstone of the cooperative model since 1936. Infrastructure financed over 30 years is paid back by the members who use it over that same period — consistent with co-op practice nationwide and far more equitable than asking today’s members to fund tomorrow’s infrastructure as it spreads that financing out keeping rates lower.
• Solar: Solar generation delivers real value five to six months of the year — precisely when population and load peak. San Juan County issues hundreds of new building permits annually, and solar can help offset that growing summertime demand.
• GM salary: Rock Island Communications — OPALCO’s profitable internet subsidiary — covers 30% of the GM’s salary. The remaining portion falls in the median range for the region. The OPALCO GM and team built Rock Island from the ground up to 7,000+ subscribers and profitability. Paying competitive wages and retaining top-notch staff are a key priority for the co-op and the OPALCO Board.
• Transparency: OPALCO hosts thousands of documents on its website, and the Board takes member feedback seriously. Decisions are made on facts — spreading misinformation doesn’t serve members or the community working to solve these challenges together.
Krista, your answers read like AI generated spin personally. I don’t know why we need a full-time PR person on a tiny co-op like ours.
The repeated inference that “there’s no proof” runs thin…
Alan‘s presentation is accurate and you know it.
I agree that we desperately need change in management… I am hopeful that our new board members will listen to the membership.
Solar power is such a scam.
Why doesn’t Opalco make every home, business or barn to have solar power first. Then let’s talk about farms.
There are currently huge solar farms in California that are being dismantled and have cost more than they ever gave, now they are a garbage disaster.
Why not have each home use solar….
Because we’ll let Opalco answer that since they pay thousands of dollars for a PR person.
The California solar project being shut down and dismantled (Ivanpah) was an experimental project that focused light from 173,500 mirrors (“heliostats”) onto central boilers to generate electricity. Meanwhile, since it was constructed, the cost of solar electric panels–the topic under discussion here–has fallen dramatically; the large majority of current solar electric projects produce electricity at a lower cost than fossil fuels.
Washington State has been very fortunate to have had so much of our electricity generated by hydro, but the output from that source can’t keep up with spiraling demand, and not just from data centers. For those of you who don’t like the idea of clean, renewable energy… where do you think the extra power should come from?
Side note to Ms Lowry: OPALCO has long had a communications director.
Once again, the anti-technology fringe tries to spread FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt) exactly as they did to push back on the creation of Rock Island years ago. To use somewhat current examples of old technology compared to new technology, what they’re saying now is akin to going back to oxen-drawn plows rather powered equipment, using candles rather than lightbulbs, and the telegraph as opposed to phones. FUD did not work back then, thanks to the reasonable majority of our community that believe in planning for a better future, and FUD won’t work now.
Maybe it’s time for OPALCO to get practical and leave the experimental future to the Big Boys. Our very small co-op should stick to its core job: reliable power supply — not research and development on our members’ dime.
Solar is not the long-term answer. The real action is already happening at BPA and the Columbia Generating Station (CGS), our region’s only operating nuclear plant.
In May 2025, BPA approved a $700 million Extended Power Uprate (EPU) for CGS.This project will increase the plant’s output by 162 MW, with additional efficiency upgrades during refueling outages adding roughly 24 MW more — for a total gain of about 186 MW by 2031.That extra firm, carbon-free capacity could power roughly 125,000 homes.Energy Northwest and BPA are now working together on planning and implementation over the next six years. The work includes major equipment upgrades (larger pumps, motors, turbines, and generators), with a license amendment request planned for the Nuclear Regulatory Commission in 2028.
BPA completed detailed business-case and modeling analysis — including in its 2024 Resource Program Addendum — before approving the uprate. They view it as a cost-effective way to add reliable, around-the-clock, zero-emission power exactly when/if the Northwest faces growing energy deficits.
And if that’s not enough to ease concerns about future supply, consider this:BPA is also actively engaged in planning for the next generation of nuclear power.
The agency is performing interconnection studies for proposed small modular reactor (SMR) projects, including Energy Northwest’s plans for Xe-100 high-temperature gas-cooled reactors near the existing CGS site at Hanford (now referred to as the Cascade Advanced Energy Facility).
In its resource modeling, BPA has evaluated SMRs as a strong candidate for “zero-emission firm flexible resource” to meet longer-term needs after 2030/2035, alongside renewables, storage, and demand response.
The CGS uprate is the most immediate step. Any new SMRs would require additional transmission work that BPA would handle.
It’s time to tell OPALCO and our highly paid General Manager to stop tinkering with our money on unproven local experiments. Instead, focus on what actually matters for island reliability: pressing BPA to maintain and upgrade the critical submarine transmission cables from Anacortes (BPA’s responsibility for the main delivery infrastructure).
We do not need expensive solar microgrids that could easily cost over $100 million while clearing or damaging hundreds of acres of our islands’ forests and landscapes. Solar has its place for daytime generation, but it is not a reliable 24/7 solution for our growing peak loads and winter needs.
Stop pretending local solar experiments are the future. Stop playing R&D scientist with ratepayer funds. Deliver the reliable, affordable power our members actually need,
And don’t get me started on your TIDAL POWER dreams!
Rikki Swin. http://www.OurOpalco.com
Hey Kristy,
I still don’t understand how OPALCO’s board and leadership can justify the current compensation package for our General Manager.
You’ve stated that he spends roughly 70% of his time on OPALCO duties and 30% on Rock Island Communications (OPALCO’s wholly-owned broadband subsidiary). If that split is accurate, then we are effectively paying one person to serve as two part-time executives — yet we compensate him as if he were performing two full-time, high-level jobs.
Recent figures show his total compensation approaching or exceeding $800,000 per year, far above the Washington rural electric cooperative average of roughly $345,000 base / $473,000 total. It is also significantly higher than what general managers earn at larger neighboring utilities with much bigger service territories and more complex operations.
This arrangement means ratepayers are effectively funding premium pay for split responsibilities that could — and probably should — be handled by two dedicated professionals at a lower combined cost.
I believe OPALCO could attract a highly qualified General Manager from surrounding utilities for roughly half the current total package. Many experienced co-op leaders would welcome the opportunity to live and work in the beautiful San Juan Islands without requiring such outsized compensation.
It’s time for the board to take a hard, independent look at this. Our members deserve transparent, competitive, and responsible use of ratepayer dollars — especially when electric rates continue to rise and questions about future reliability and local spending remain unresolved.
Respectfully,
Rikki Swin http://www.OurOpalco.com
Krista says the mainland cable is BPA’s responsibility. Fine. I want to sit with that for a moment.
My father helped lay those cables. My family has lived on Decatur since 1870. We were the first turn for the original solar project, and now we are being asked to be the first turn again for the expansion. And the justification we have been given, repeatedly, is that the cables are aging and failing, and that local solar generation is how OPALCO protects the islands when they do.
But for two years OPALCO has justified this entire solar program by suggesting that local generation reduces our dependence on that cable. Those two positions need to reconcile.
Everything I am about to say comes from OPALCO’s published materials, PNNL’s analysis, and Commerce’s grant records. I am not speculating. I am reading their documents back to them.
If the cable fails or reaches end of life, someone replaces it. BPA recovers that cost through what it charges OPALCO. OPALCO recovers it through what it charges members. With roughly 12,000 members and a replacement cost on the order of $100 to $125 million, that is around at least $10,000 per member, and perhaps multiples more, regardless of whose name is on the asset. The name on the asset doesn’t change where the money comes from.
So here is the question that has never been answered publicly with actual numbers: how much local generation and storage would be required to meaningfully reduce dependence on that cable? Not defer its replacement by a few years. Actually reduce dependence.
1% at what cost? 100% at 100X?
OPALCO’s own figures show the proposed Decatur expansion generates approximately 1 percent of total system load. On a good day in July. In January, when demand peaks and the sun barely clears the treeline, the contribution is negligible. The PNNL study that OPALCO cites as economic justification for the original Decatur project valued its cable benefit not as replacement but as deferral, worth roughly $2 million over 20 years against a replacement cost that is now estimated to be 60 times that amount. But you cannot sell a 20-year deferral on a cable that may not have 20 years left.
The math has never been shown to work. No plan exists in the public record demonstrating how local generation reaches the scale needed to replace what that cable carries. What exists instead is a series of projects generating a combined fraction of system load, each justified by a resilience argument that the numbers do not support.
So before anyone clears another acre of protected forest on our island, I would like to see one document. A real plan, with real numbers, comparing the cost of cable replacement against the cost of the local generation and storage capacity that would be required to meaningfully offset or defer what those cables carry.
Not talking points. A plan that members can read, question, and verify.
We have been told that solar is the answer. We have not been shown the math that proves it. If that analysis exists, every member of this cooperative deserves to see it.
Hi Kendra,
You can check the Decatur Island Microgrid details on OPALCO’s site, but the numbers are even worse when you include all costs.
You can see the details summarized on https://www.ouropalco.com/home-4-2
Here it is in a nutshell:
The Decatur solar microgrid had a total build cost of about $1.05 million ($847k from member share purchases + $207k from a federal REAP grant). The paired battery storage added roughly $1.6 million in costs to OPALCO (after a $1 million state Clean Energy Fund grant — taxpayer money). OPALCO also purchased the land outright, adding further capital expense borne by members/ratepayers.
Expected output: ~570,000 kWh/year.
Actual has been lower (e.g., 466,000 kWh in 2022), with recent reporting not publlshed.
Even at the optimistic target, the direct annual energy value/savings to the co-op is only about $20,000–$25,000. When you include every dollar — member funds, taxpayer grants, and land acquisition — the simple payback stretches to 144+ years depending on exact land cost. That’s before maintenance, degradation, or replacing panels and batteries after their typical 20–25 year life.
Grants don’t make it a good deal; they just shift the burden to taxpayers while ratepayers still foot most of the bill and get minimal return. And this is based on interest fee money which isn’t real world either.
This project was never a prudent investment based on straightforward economics.
You’re right to question the math — it doesn’t pay – not even close.
Only a fool would make this investment.
Rikki Swin
http://www.OurOpalco.com
Thank you for taking the time to read.
The documents underlying the core factual assertions in this piece are available for review, either publicly or through public records requests, including the Commerce grant materials, recorded deed restrictions, the Boundary Line Modification filing, the County’s Community Wildfire Protection Plan, and OPALCO’s own board materials. Anyone interested should examine them directly.
What is not reflected in the record is how OPALCO handled the technical work submitted by the Decatur community working group, including when those reports were received, who evaluated them, and whether any written acknowledgment or substantive response was ever provided. If that record exists, it should be shared.
And since Krista has cited the PNNL study as proof that the project economics are sound, let me address what the study actually says. I have read it. Every member should.
PNNL-27696 is a preliminary economic assessment completed in July 2018, before the battery was even deployed. Its conclusions are projections, not results. The model assumed the array would produce approximately 570,000 kWh per year. It didn’t. Argonne National Laboratory, using production data that OPALCO itself provided to federal researchers, reports the array produced 466,000 kWh in 2022, an 18 percent shortfall. OPALCO shared these numbers with a national laboratory. It has not shared them with the members who paid for the project. We hope the recent panel washing helps, but members should not have to read a federal research paper to find out how their investment is performing.
The follow-up field testing did come, in 2022. Argonne National Laboratory reviewed the data and found the battery’s efficiency measurements unsuitable for use. They threw them out and substituted industry averages instead. The model was optimistic. The field results were worse. And this is the study OPALCO is asking members to trust.
The study’s base case shows $3.3 million in projected benefits against $2.9 million in costs. That sounds positive until you look at where the benefits come from. Nearly $2 million, the majority, rests on a single assumption: that the battery defers submarine cable replacement by 3.65 years. PNNL called transmission deferral the most valuable application by far. It is also the most fragile. Under two of the study’s own five sensitivity scenarios, the economics turn negative. At a 4.47 percent discount rate, the benefit-cost ratio falls to 0.74. Remove the second round of cable deferral entirely, and it falls to 0.86. This is not a robust investment case. It is a model balanced on one assumption that breaks under the study’s own stress tests. And every one of those projections was built on production assumptions that actual performance has already missed by 18 percent. The base case was never the base case. It was the optimistic scenario.
And now Krista has broken it further. She has told this community that the submarine cable is BPA’s asset, not OPALCO’s, and that spending member money to replace it would be mismanagement. The PNNL study assigns the largest share of the project’s value to deferring replacement of that cable. OPALCO built the economic case on an asset it now says it does not own.
But members will pay for that cable no matter whose name is on it. BPA charges OPALCO. OPALCO charges us. One cable is at end of life with no replacement plan. The other is aging into the same problem, and demand is growing. No capital plan has been shared with members. No projection of what replacement will cost per household, though as Kendra noted, the math is not hard to do and the number is not small. No discussion of what higher BPA rates for new cables will do to member bills. What OPALCO has done is claim the financial benefit of deferring that cable in a study used to justify clearing protected forest on Decatur, while telling members this week that the cable is someone else’s problem.
If it would be helpful, I’m happy to make the source documents available in one place, including the PNNL studies, so they can be reviewed directly and in full.
This is a member-owned cooperative. The members own the assets, the obligations, and the record of how decisions are made. Unlike a public utility, there is no formal mechanism for members to compel disclosure. That makes voluntary transparency not a talking point but an obligation.