— by Lin McNulty —

Endangered Southern Resident killer whales will be extinct if we don’t change our ways.

The frightening message is about as clear as it can be in a recent study published on Thursday in the peer-reviewed, scientific journal Nature: The population of our Southern Resident killer whales could show robust growth if all anthropogenic threats were removed, but has no growth under current threat levels. Anthropogenic threats (chiefly of environmental pollution and pollutants) originate from human activity. We are killing our orcas.

The critically endangered Southern Resident killer whale population of the northeastern Pacific Ocean provided a data-rich environment in which to explore human-caused threats on population viability. Results of the study published on primary threats include:

  • limitation of preferred prey, Chinook salmon;
  • anthropogenic noise and disturbance, which reduce foraging efficiency; and
  • high levels of stored contaminants, including PCBs.

Chinook Salmon, the preferred food source for our Southern Resident killer whales, is dwindling.

Our orca population is fragile, with no growth projected under current conditions, and decline expected if new or increased threats are imposed.

As reported last month on Orcas Issues, no southern resident killer whales from any of the pods had been born alive and survived in 2017. As of 19 September, a Southern Resident killer whale, J52 – a two and a half year old male born during the so-called Baby Boom of 2015/2016 — had deceased, presumably from malnutrition.

Improvements in the ability to produce an abundance of offspring or new growth and calf survival are needed to reach a conservation objective of 2.3 percent annual population growth.

Limitation of prey is the most important factor affecting population growth. However, to meet recovery targets through prey management alone, Chinook abundance would have to be sustained near the highest levels since the 1970s.

Reducing acoustic disturbance by 50 percent, combined with increasing Chinook by 15 percent would allow the population to reach that conservative 2.3 percent growth.

The most optimistic mitigation of noise and contaminants would make the difference between a declining and increasing population, but would be insufficient to reach recovery targets.

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