Here’s how annexing Canada would change American politics

We took Trump literally, not seriously, about the push to make Canada the 51st state

||| FROM POLITICO.COM |||

Donald Trump says Canada should become the 51st state. He should be careful what he wishes for.

No, it’s (probably?) not a serious idea, but the president-elect keeps trolling the United States’ ally to the north about becoming the next state in the union. On Monday, after Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced he will step down, Trump posted on social media that “many people in Canada LOVE being the 51st State.” And he doubled down on Tuesday. (Trudeau didn’t take it well.)

So after weeks of this recurring bit, Score decided to take Trump literally, not seriously: What are the immediate political implications of Canada becoming part of the United States?

The answer, our analysis found, is that Democrats would benefit significantly, with the new great state of Canada serving as a kind of second California, a massive blue state that would hold dozens of House seats and create a huge Democratic advantage in the Electoral College.

Canada would be solidly blue, and we’re not just talking about the temperature: An informal survey of our colleagues in the Great White North — subscribe to Ottawa Playbook! — found they were confident their countrymen would vote for Democrats, and a hypothetical preelection poll found Canadians overwhelmingly siding with Kamala Harris over Trump.

With Canada secured, Democrats would need to win just two battleground states in the 2028 presidential election. (That doesn’t make the White House a sure thing: Trump would have still defeated Harris in 2024 even with Canada in the union, since she lost every battleground.)

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